Alien Worlds, Universal Values
I.
In principle life will begin any
place where the conditions for it are suitable, but the eventual evolution of
an intelligent species, i.e., one possessing what we would call true
consciousness, is a much more complex proposition, resting as it does on an
increasing number of variables at each emergent level. The number of ways life
can evolve without producing an
intellectually advanced species is formidable, and it is entirely possible that
most life in our Universe is no more advanced than microbes. Even if it becomes
established, an intelligent species may destroy itself in any number of ways;
we might eventually provide our own example of how this is done. Nonetheless,
we may suppose that there are in fact other civilizations which have emerged in
our home galaxy. How numerous such civilizations might actually be is still a
matter of considerable dispute, however. Peter D. Ward and Donald Brownlee have
argued that the number of true civilizations in the Milky Way might be much
lower than we commonly believe. They have come up with a formula which they
believe to be the basis for a realistic estimate. They first discuss the famous
Drake Equation (after astronomer Frank Drake), formulated in the 1950s:
N*
x fs x fp x ne x fi x
fc x fl =N
Where :
N*= stars in the Milky Way Galaxy
fs = fraction of sun-like stars
fp = fraction of stars with planets
ne = planets in a star’s habitable zone
fi = fraction of habitable
planets where life does arise
fc = fraction of planets inhabited by intelligent beings
fl = percentage of a lifetime of a planet that is marked by the
presence of a communicative civilization.
Based on the assumption that
planets are very common, Carl Sagan and other astronomers posited at one time
that the Milky Way contained 1,000,000 communicative civilizations. But Ward
and Brownlee point out that planets may be less common around stars than
initially believed (although a number of exoplanets have been discovered) and
they also point to the complex interaction of variables on our own planet (the
influence of plate tectonics, a low number of mass extinctions, the presence of
a large moon) that may be necessary for the emergence of intelligent life.
Their equation, therefore, looks like this:
N* x fp
x fpm x ne x ng x fi x fc
x fl x fm x fj x fme = N
where:
N* = stars in the Milky Way
Galaxy
fp = fraction of stars with planets
fpm = fraction of metal-rich planets
ne = planets in a star’s
habitable zone
ng = stars in a galactic
habitable zone
fi = fraction of
habitable planets where life does arise
fc = fraction of planets
with life where complex metazoans arise
fl = percentage of a lifetime of a planet that is
marked by the presence of complex metazoans
fm = fraction of planets
with a large moon [to stabilize the tilt of a planet’s axis and to help stabilize its atmosphere]
fj = fraction
of planets with Jupiter-sized planets [ones that gravitationally attract asteroids and
comets]
fme = fraction of planets
with a critically low number of mass extinction events
Based on these much more rigorous
criteria, Ward and Brownlee estimate that planets where communicative
civilizations emerged are very rare. Even assuming that there are just a few
thousand planets in the Milky Way with any
advanced life might be optimistic. (Pp. 267-275)
In my view, to be pessimistic,
there might be no more than 100 civilizations, including our own in the 100,000
light year diameter of our galaxy. A civilization on average every 1,000 light
years. But multiply this figure by 125 billion or so galaxies (to use a low
estimate), and there may still be more than twelve
trillion civilizations in the Universe. Perhaps it’s not as lonely out
there as we might fear. Even if there is only one civilization per galaxy on average, it still means that the
population of the Universe may be well into the quintillions of intelligent
beings.
What are they like? To say the
least, the images of aliens provided by our popular culture have not, for the
most part, been helpful in answering this question. Any life form must conform
to certain physical boundaries, and perhaps it would be useful to confine
ourselves to examining where these might lie. To
begin with, extraterrestrials are probably three-dimensional (no flat aliens
need apply). As Peter Atkins has pointed out, nervous systems function most efficiently in
three dimensions and in particular the neuronal interconnectivity with which we
associate higher order intelligence is only possible in such a configuration.
It is conceivable that there are stringy intelligent beings or beings for whom
depth has no meaning, but the probability of them is vanishingly small.
Next, we must assume that
they are neither incredibly tiny nor breathtakingly gargantuan. Different
gravities on different planets would, of course, permit a wide range of sizes
among intelligent creatures, but I would guess the planets where such beings
evolved are probably not characterized by Jupiter-like gravity (which would make
the vertical growth of animals problematic although they could be stretched
very far horizontally). Very low gravity would present difficulties as well, so
such beings probably live on planets that are not radically different from terrestrial size (unless these beings have
re-engineered their home worlds).
We should also remember that physical laws
dictate the proportions and dimensions of living things. Intelligent giants
could exist elsewhere. but their structures would still be severely
circumscribed by gravity. There could be enormous cloud-like beings (which has
been speculated by some writers), but as Arthur C. Clarke has pointed out the
speed of their nervous systems would be limited by the speed of light and in
order to function effectively and intelligently their brains would have to be
of a manageable (and inherently limited) size. Physical laws also restrict
smallness of size. There could be very small intelligent beings, but the cells
out of which they are constructed would have to be very small as well, and
cells are pretty tiny as it is. If we assume that brains need large numbers of
cells to develop intelligence, it would seem to rule out a race of intelligent
creatures the size of a spider monkey. And yes, we should forget about worlds
of intelligent creatures who live around atoms. (A wonderful discussion of such
matters is found in Clarke's Profiles of
the Future). Therefore, we should not expect that aliens would be many
orders of size different from ourselves, although there could be a great deal
of variation. (Witness the difference between our tallest humans and the
smallest human dwarves.)
We should probably assume
that intelligent beings are not photosynthetic (and hence not plants) and thus
they would need to ingest material for their metabolic processes. (Yes, we
might indeed be appetizing to them.) If they do need to eat in the sense we
understand it that means they must be mobile in some way. We must also assume
that they have some way of manipulating the physical objects around them. If
they couldn't do so, it’s hard to see how they could construct a civilization
unless they were telekinetic (which I strongly doubt somehow). Dolphins and
whales on our own planet are highly intelligent beings but they are not
technological. Their inability to grasp and manipulate objects precludes this.
(So does this mean our alien friends live on land rather the water? Not
necessarily, but it might be easier for them if they did.) Therefore,
extraterrestrials probably have appendages of some sort, although these could
be of a startling variety of sizes, shapes, and flexibility.
They would also have to
have some sort of sensory apparatuses for detecting the energies which flow and
undulate around all of us. Their primary sense for navigating the physical
world might not always be sight, however. As Richard Dawkins has pointed out,
bats construct a sonic reality which is as vivid to them as visual reality is
to us. Therefore, alien eyes might not always be as acute as ours (or even
exist, for that matter). If they are of a race which evolved eyes, those eyes
may be adapted to perceive different parts of the light spectrum than our own. They
may be multiple in number (although two eyes are handy in the construction of a
visual field which permits depth perception). Other sensory apparatuses which
they may have evolved or given themselves through genetic engineering may allow
them to perceive various forms of radiation, signals transmitted directly from
other brains, or forms of energy the existence of which we might not suspect.
Of course, the above limits
leave a lot of room for variation. What are their body chemistries? Are they
carbon based, like terrestrial life forms, or are they perhaps based on silicon
or some other element which bonds readily to form organic molecules? Are they
based on nucleic acids of some sort? Do any of them resemble terrestrial mammals
or could there be intelligent creatures which resemble Earth’s amphibians or
reptilians in appearance (or even its birds, for that matter)? Is it possible
that there are multiple species of
intelligent, culture-possessing, symbol-manipulating beings on some of these
planets? Do the beings of other worlds have lung-like structures or do they
process atmospheric gases in some other way? What are their brains like? Do
their brains, like ours, reflect their species' evolutionary history, and if so
are these beings mixtures of instinctive emotional, and intellectual behaviors?
How do their brains process and transmit language? Have any of them figured out
a way to transcend physical bodies altogether and exist as pure intelligence
(which strikes me as improbable, but who knows)? One thing is certain: they
don’t look like us. The odds against this are so prohibitive that we needn't
concern ourselves with it. Any science fiction which portrays aliens as
human-like in their appearance strikes me as being particularly unimaginative.
II.
But aside
from my child-like curiosity about the possible appearance and physical
features of extraterrestrial intelligent beings, there are deeper issues with
which I’d like to deal. Is there a set of rules that would apply to any
intelligent, consciousness-possessing, sentient being anywhere in this or any other possible Universe, rules which would
arise naturally from the very nature of
mind itself? I ask this not
because I think we will ever encounter such beings—I consider
the odds of this happening to be remote—but rather to try to connect us
intellectually and emotionally to a larger reality than ourselves, and to see
our moral rules in a new perspective.
We must imagine that
intelligent creatures everywhere possess awareness of the impact of their
actions on others and thus (in some way) have a moral and ethical sense. It’s
difficult to see how they could interact with each other if they didn’t. (In
that sense, an ethical system has utility.
It serves as a minimal social good.) If they, like us, evolved in part through
physical struggle and violence, have they learned how to overcome their violent
tendencies? How do they get along with each other now in light of their own
past histories? In how many ways have moral issues been resolved, and what
kinds of sufferings and sacrifices were necessary to bring about these resolutions?
Have others been able to achieve the precarious balance between the rights and
integrity of the individual and the needs of a broader social group? Is there a
universal sense of right and wrong, a sense of empathy perhaps based on
phenomena similar (although obviously not identical) to the mirror neurons in
our own brains?
More ominously, are there
planets where the doctrine of Might-Makes-Right has triumphed to the exclusion
of all other possible ethical systems? Has the utility of evil proven so
alluring that there are planetary civilizations that are nightmare worlds of
oppression, savagery, violence, suffering, and uninhibited cruelty? On our own
planet the grim history of would-be world conquerors must give us at least some
pause. The impulse toward mass murder and mass enslavement still rests in the
darkest recesses of some of our fellow humans’ minds. There is at least the
possibility that such horror may yet engulf us. There is a very real
possibility that it has engulfed others elsewhere.
Moreover, in the course of
the social evolution of other
intelligent species, did they evolve belief systems that were planet-centric,
ones that placed them at the center of creation, as did ours? Did their planets
tend to develop several different belief systems, and if so, did their worlds
undergo the agonizing religious clashes we have seen on ours? If there are
indeed multiple intelligent species on these planets, how did they learn to
co-exist? There may have been terrible racial wars, true inter-species
conflicts that scarred the history of these worlds. How have the civilizations
which may have experienced such events managed to overcome their deleterious
effects?
In attempting to address
such questions, we must assume, I believe, that any intelligent species
anywhere in any frame of reference:
A. Is the product of some sort of organic
evolution in which reproductive success was of paramount importance.
B. Is sentient in some way and to some degree,
and this sentience is the product of its evolutionary inheritance.
C. Is descended from ancestors
who had to figure out the rules of their planet from scratch, just as ours did,
and discovered the true nature of their world haltingly, over a great period of
time.
D. Has ancestors for whom
survival involved certain difficulties and hardships, and for whom certain
rules of conduct were indispensable.
E. Has undergone a long
process of social evolution which has not always proceeded smoothly, and which
may have involved a significant amount of interpersonal violence
and other upheavals.
Therefore, an ethical
system anywhere in the Universe or Multiverse might rest on the following
assumptions:
1. The
awareness of the self. Assumption: The
survival and physical well-being of the self is desirable, and hence a being
has the fundamental right to acquire those things that are essential for its
survival and to defend itself.
2. Emotional
attachment to a kinship group. Assumption: The security and survival of a
being’s family, especially its offspring, is a matter of vital concern.
3. Group
Identity. Assumption: The well-being of the broader group of which a being
is a member is a vital concern, in light of the group’s likely importance to
the survival of the being and its in-groups.
4. Group
cohesion. Assumption: Intra-group violence is generally counter-productive
and something to be discouraged. Rules of conduct must therefore exist and be
enforced.
5. Unregulated Group Relations.
Assumption: Ordinary interaction between members of a group must rest on
interpersonal trust, lest chaos and anarchy come to prevail.
There are other assumptions
which could be made, of course, but to me these seem to be the most fundamental ones,
inasmuch as they are directly related to the reproductive success of the
individual and the group of which it is a member.
A group somewhere in the
Multiverse may take into consideration other ideas, over and above the basic
assumptions, ones which encompass a much wider range of beings. A truly
advanced ethical system anywhere might embrace such propositions as:
1. All sentient beings are as real as any others,
and since they are sentient, have the
capacity to experience both pleasure and suffering. Conversely, I am as real as
any other sentient being, and I have a right to expect other intelligent beings
to be cognizant of this fact and act accordingly.
2. Our sympathies must not lie entirely with our
own group, our own kind of being, or our own culture. They must extend to all
others. We have a right to expect reciprocity in this matter. Our empathy must
extend as widely as possible as well.
3. We must never seek to
deliberately impose needless suffering on any sentient being, and we must never inflict suffering on others who
are innocent of any offense against us.
4. We must respect the
world upon which we live, and preserve it for those who will come after us.
5. We must grant to all sentient beings the
right to make of themselves what they can, within the boundaries of respect for
other sentient beings.
Again, there are others,
but in my view these all represent a step beyond the basic ethical principles.
If a civilization embraces the doctrine of mutual respect among its members, it
has genuine hopes of avoiding a future of endless brutality and the horrific
reality of “the war of all against all”.
A major complication which
might alter these assumptions is the possibility that the intelligent life form
of some other world might be machine-based, the product of what we would call
artificial intelligence. In that case, we would have to assume that such
entities are the successors of organic beings. They would be the indirect product of organic evolution, a
sort of secondary offshoot of it. Such machine-based intelligence would have
undergone its own evolutionary path, but it might have been a very rapid one,
as it has been on this planet, and the machines may in fact have aided and
directed their own evolution significantly. Whether an AI entity is capable of
consciousness is an issue, as we have seen, that has yet to be resolved. From
an ethical standpoint, would an AI entity be a person, some one instead of some thing? And would an AI entity have any capacity for empathy or
respect for the survival of others? Would such entities have goals and purpose?
Would they evolve an interior emotional life, or is such a question merely the
product of one human’s inability to conceive of consciousness on any basis but
his own?
III.
How many histories are
taking place out there? How many wars, migrations, scientific and technological
revolutions, religious movements, artistic developments, empires rising and
falling have there been? How many philosophies have been generated? What
explanations have the Aristotles, Lao-Tzus, Siddharthas, and Augustines of
other planets come up with for the mysteries of existence? In how many civilizations
is a god of some sort worshipped? lf there is in fact a single universal God,
has He (or it) played out a series of huge cosmic dramas with the intelligent
beings of other planets in ways similar to those believed by Jews, Muslims, and
Christians to be taking place on this planet? (Have there been, in countless
number, prophets? Messiahs? Saviors? Resurrections?) In how many ways is love
expressed? Hatred? Passion? Artistic sensibility? We must imagine that
somewhere, every conceivable act of which intelligent beings are capable is
happening right now (in our frame of
reference), from the most deeply spiritual and altruistic to the most
atrociously horrible. In a sense, in various parts of the Universe or
Multiverse, our entire experience is being recapitulated at any given moment.
This is a reality I can't see but it overwhelms me just in its contemplation.
It may be extremely unlikely
we will ever directly encounter any other intelligent, language-possessing
species. But in the most general sense, we should acknowledge them as fellow
perceivers of the Universe, and wish them well in their pursuit of knowledge of
it. From an ethical standpoint, we must regard any extraterrestrial intelligent
beings as persons. This means, if we
endow persons on Earth with certain rights and considerations, that these
extraterrestrials would deserve the same. We must know that even though we may
never encounter them, that they are as real as we, and by virtue of that fact,
deserving of our sympathies and respect. We must hope that they feel the same
way. In that sense, perhaps, we might know each other after all.
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